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4G set to rule in Africa

According to Strategy Analytics, half of all mobile subscribers in Sub-Saharan Africa will be on 4G by 2026

Never mind 5G: mobile subscription growth in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) is still more about the move from 3G to 4G. SSA represents one of the last major growth regions globally for mobile services, forecast to contribute 29% of global subscription growth this decade, according to the latest research from Strategy Analytics. 

The report, “Sub-Saharan Africa Wireless Market Outlook: Operator Growth Strategies”, highlights 4G as a major priority for SSA operators in the medium term, delivering cost-effective mobile broadband coverage and devices to boost digital inclusion.

According to the report, 4G is still in its infancy in the region, currently accounting for less than one-quarter of mobile connections and with network coverage of 57% of the population, leaving limited coverage outside of urban centres. 4G will be key to creating market value as mobile internet adoption moves beyond 2G and 3G. However, mobile operators in SSA have spent less on capital expenditure as a proportion of service revenues compared to operators in the Middle East & North Africa (MENA) and globally.

The report provides recommendations to operators in areas critical to unlocking revenue growth through digital inclusion. These focus on improving the availability of low-cost 4G smartphones and smart feature phones and solving the challenge of extending 4G coverage into rural and remote communities where it is not uncommon for average revenue per user to be below $1 per month.

“4G network expansion requires the use of innovative products and network deployment strategies, with network-as-a-service and refurbished network equipment interesting developments in the region,” says report author Phil Kendall, director of Strategy Analytics’ service provider group. 

“Low-cost rural coverage is also as much about energy costs as hardware costs, with green site solutions key for the deployment business case. Governments also have a role to play here, both in terms of making low-band spectrum available for 4G and in terms of committing funds in national broadband plans and digital inclusion policies to support 4G for all.”

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