The 2025 global business travel spending is projected to reach $1.57-trillion, reveals a new report by the Global Business Travel Association (GBTA).
The report, titled the GBTA Business Travel Index (BTI) Outlook – Annual Global Report and Forecast, reveals a moderate year-over-year growth rate of 6.6%. This is despite global spending being expected to slow this year due to trade tensions, policy uncertainty, and economic pressures.
A rebound to 8.1% growth is projected for 2026, while long-term forecasts remain clouded by geopolitical and economic volatility.
Despite near-term challenges, global spending is projected to surpass $2-trillion by 2029 ─ one year later than anticipated a year ago ─ driven by structural shifts in trade, investment, and corporate travel behaviour.
The GBTA BTI report is a comprehensive five-year forecast on business travel spending covering 72 countries and 44 industries and includes insights from more than 7,300 global business travellers.
Now in its 17th edition and produced in partnership with Visa, the latest forecast reflects a continued recovery in nominal terms but signals growing headwinds from global trade tensions and economic uncertainty.
“As we thoughtfully anticipate reaching a new high in business travel spending this year, the outlook is steady ─ but the road ahead is more complex,” says Suzanne Neufang, GBTA CEO.
“Trade policy uncertainty, inflationary pressures, and shifting global supply chains are reshaping how and where companies travel. This latest forecast reflects the resiliency of business travel and our industry as well as the acknowledgment of the risks ahead.”
According to the GBTA BTI, spending is projected to grow in 2027 by 6.4% and 6.3% in 2028, modestly higher than forecast a year ago. The pace and trajectory of this growth, however, will depend heavily on the resolution, or escalation, of global trade tensions.
Global trade tensions impact growth momentum
- The forecast reflects a moderation from double-digit gains of the past two years. Trade policy uncertainty has emerged as a key risk leading to downward revisions in business travel growth projections for 2025 (from 10.4% projected a year ago, to 6.6% now) and 2026 (from 9.2% projected a year ago, to 8.1% now).
- Spending figures for 2024 were adjusted in the forecast, spending rose to $1.47-trillion, slightly below the previously projected $1.48-trillion. While this still marked a new high, real inflation-adjusted spending remains 14% below pre-pandemic levels, underscoring a slower recovery in travel volume.
Impacts diverge among regional markets and industry sectors
- In the 2025 forecast, the top 15 markets for business travel spending represent $1.31-trillion. The two top markets, the US ($395.4-billion) and China ($373.1-billion), together represent 58% of that total.
- The US is projected to reclaim the top spot this year followed by China (which led the list in 2024 and 2023), Germany, Japan, and the UK.
- India, South Korea, and Turkey are among the fastest growing among the top 15 markets, while Spain and the Netherlands are forecast to have little to no growth or a slight decrease.
Business travel spending across industries will continue to vary:
- Trade-sensitive sectors such as Manufacturing (which accounts for nearly one-third of global business spending) and Wholesale Trade face heightened risks if trade tensions further escalate.
- Service sectors like arts and entertainment and professional services have exceeded pre-pandemic benchmarks, with some growing travel spend by over 20%.
- Looking ahead, mining and information and communication are each expected to post the strongest growth in business travel spend, while agriculture faces the weakest outlook amid shrinking access to export markets.
Global business traveller sentiment remains strong
A global survey of over 7,300 business travellers across 33 countries in North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, Africa, Latin America and the Middle East reveals continued evolution and confidence in the value of traveling for work:
- Business travel is seen as valuable – 86% rate their trips as worthwhile. Primary trip purposes cited vary by region, with training and conferences topping the list globally.
- Most travellers (74%) took between one and five trips in the past year, and over 80% say they are traveling for work as much or more than before 2019.
- Average trip spending rose to $1,128 (up from $834 in the 2024 survey).
- Expense systems are common (67% use them), and comfort with artificial intelligence booking tools is growing, especially in Asia Pacific (78%).
- Corporate card access rose to 69%, led by North America (73%). However, only half of cardholders are required to use them. Mobile wallet use is also up, with 64% adoption globally and 72% in Asia Pacific.
Edward Galvin, VP and head of North America B2B Commercial Payments at Visa, says: “As corporate travellers increasingly expect seamless, mobile-first payment experiences, it’s no surprise the report found notable usage of corporate credit cards through mobile wallets.
“At Visa, we’re focused on enabling this shift, offering secure, flexible digital payment tools that meet travellers where they are, and help organisations modernise their expense processes.”
* Download the executive summary for the 2025 Business Travel Index Outlook report here.